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Re: DewDiligence post# 152907

Sunday, 02/03/2013 1:42:09 PM

Sunday, February 03, 2013 1:42:09 PM

Post# of 257253
MNTA 2013-2014 News Flow

[Remove note re possible consolidation of MNTA-Amphastar
patent case with Classen case, which is no longer possible;
add item re 4Q12 financial results.]



Corporate and financial

[15-Feb-2013]: MNTA reports 4Q12 financial results and updates financial outlook for 2013. (Note: 4Q12 Lovenox sales reported by NVS were higher than MNTA’s prior guidance.)


Lovenox

Timing uncertain: Possible US Supreme Court review of the Lovenox patent suit against Amphastar. (The CAFC denied MNTA’s request for an ‘en banc’ rehearing on 11/20/12, and the USSC denied certiorari for the related Classen case on 1/14/13.)


Copaxone

Timing uncertain: FDA action on NVS/MNTA’s Copaxone ANDA. Although the FDA is now barred by court order from issuing a final approval of NVS/MNTA’s ANDA before May 2014 (unless there’s a settlement or reversal of the District Court ruling on appeal), the FDA can issue a tentative approval, which will allow NVS/MNTA to launch their product upon the expiration of Teva’s patents. Inasmuch as NVS/MNTA had previously decided not to launch generic Copaxone “at risk,” an FDA tentative approval is as consequential for MNTA investors as a final approval; it will re-validate MNTA’s technical prowess in replicating complex drugs and guarantee that generic Copaxone can be launched at the expiration of Teva’s patents (or sooner in the event of a settlement or reversal of the District Court on appeal).

Timing uncertain: FDA action on Mylan’s Copaxone ANDA. The same restrictions on a final FDA approval described in the above bullet item apply to MYL’s Copaxone ANDA. (Note: MYL’s Copaxone ANDA was accepted for FDA review about 14 months after NVS/MNTA’s ANDA.)

Late 2013/early 2014: Completion of the appeal of the District Court’s ruling in the Copaxone patent case. (If the Appellate Court were to reverse the District Court and find in favor of NVS/MNTA, a tentative FDA approval of NVS/MNTA’s Copaxone ANDA would be converted to a final approval.)


FoB Program

Early 2014: Start of clinical trial for M923, the first compound in the BAX-MNTA FoB collaboration (which I think is Orencia). This will trigger two milestone payments from BAX (#msg-81498217). Note: MNTA has already established proof of concept on this compound.

Early 2014 or thereabouts: BAX decision to formally license M511, the third compound in the BAX-MNTA collaboration (which I think is Erbitux). If BAX licenses M511, MNTA will receive an up-front license fee and be eligible for additional milestone payments on this compound (#msg-81498217).

Timing uncertain: Progress on M834, the second compound in the BAX-MTA collaboration (which I think is Humira). BAX has already licensed this product for further development.

Timing uncertain: Selection of the fourth, fifth, and sixth FoB compounds to be developed in the BAX-MNTA collaboration.


Other Programs

1H13: M402 data (safety, tolerability, efficacy to determine dose(s) for further study) from first portion of phase-1/2 trial in pancreatic cancer. (M402 is MNTA’s proprietary heparin-based cancer drug.)

Timing uncertain: Progress on IVIG program based on the sialic switch technology.

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