Excelon Corp (EXC)

[flatlander_60048]

Another post that the Yahoo board would not allow.



EXC is/was poorly positioned for this cycle. They are a major energy generator at a time when the price of energy is plummeting due to the economic downturn and deregulation. The delivery business has been mired in regulatory issues associated with cost recovery for grid modernization. However, some of EXC's competitors are in worse shape and the washout of these competitors will eventually put a floor in on energy generation prices.

In the past 2 weeks Edison Mission Energy and Ameren have decided to throw in the towel on their power generation businesses in Illinois. The question is whether there are any assets worth picking up at these distressed prices. The Midwest generation facilities are coal fired and were previously owned by Com Ed so it is a pretty sure bet that EXC has no interest in these facilities. Reportedly some of the Ameren divestment includes nat gas fired facilities, so there may be some interest in these facilities.

More importantly the washout of weaker hands is likely to mark the bottom of this cycle. These companies have determined that they are no longer willing to sustain losses on these facilities.

FL

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