AI
Friday, October 28, 2005 12:47:25 PM
Hurricane Beta vs. Hurricane Mitch
Appears to me RNC mines should fare ok (largest risk is at Bonanza = 31K oz/year), given north/northwest current path of Hurricane Beta.
Beta path apparently will not be heading south toward La Libertad (70K oz/yr) & San Andres (80K oz/yr) as Hurricane Mitch did... See chart below for Mitch path. Beta has already missed Cerro Quema Panama (48K oz/yr). And eye of Beta will pass to the west of La Libertad and apparently much further north, so La Libertad also looks ok at this time. San Andres still not out of the woods yet, Beta needs to start tracking more north, and definitely not south.
Beta Path Projected:
Mitch Path Actual:
RNC Mine Locations:
If Beta starts heading south like Mitch, then RNC mines are in trouble..., albeit Mitch was Category 5 while Beta likely to be a strong Category 2.
Appears to me RNC mines should fare ok (largest risk is at Bonanza = 31K oz/year), given north/northwest current path of Hurricane Beta.
Beta path apparently will not be heading south toward La Libertad (70K oz/yr) & San Andres (80K oz/yr) as Hurricane Mitch did... See chart below for Mitch path. Beta has already missed Cerro Quema Panama (48K oz/yr). And eye of Beta will pass to the west of La Libertad and apparently much further north, so La Libertad also looks ok at this time. San Andres still not out of the woods yet, Beta needs to start tracking more north, and definitely not south.
Beta Path Projected:
Mitch Path Actual:
RNC Mine Locations:
If Beta starts heading south like Mitch, then RNC mines are in trouble..., albeit Mitch was Category 5 while Beta likely to be a strong Category 2.
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