Tornado Alley (PROG)

[fuagf]

"The New Republicans .. John Podhoretz Has Awkward Postelection Epiphany" .. to ..

"How the 2012 election polling really was skewed – for Mitt Romney" .. this bit ..

"President Obama currently"
[ https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE&f=true&noheader=false&gid=19 ] "has a 3.2pt lead nationally and it seems like he may finish with an edge above 3.5pt."

which had this guy wondering if the final count was in yet .. the easy answer you ALL know is NO ..

Pennsylvania Could Be a Path Forward for G.O.P.

By NATE SILVER - November 23, 2012, 4:57 pm

The last ballots in the presidential election were cast more than two weeks ago. But votes in 37 states,
and the District of Columbia, are still being counted, with the results yet to be officially certified.

President Obama’s national margin over Mitt Romney has increased as additional ballots have been added to the tally. According to the terrific spreadsheet .. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/lv?key=0AjYj9mXElO_QdHpla01oWE1jOFZRbnhJZkZpVFNKeVE&toomany=true#gid=19 .. maintained by David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report, Mr. Obama now leads Mr. Romney by 3.3 percentage points nationally, up from 2.5 percentage points in the count just after the election.

Turnout has grown to about 127 million voters, down from roughly 131 million in 2008. The gap could close further
as additional ballots are counted. The newly counted ballots have also shifted the relative order of the states .. http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/08/as-nation-and-parties-change-republicans-are-at-an-electoral-college-disadvantage .

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/2012/11/23/pennsylvania-could-be-a-path-forward-for-g-o-p/#more-37623

much more interesting toward 2016 stuff from, Nate 'the Great' Silver, poll analysis man extraordinaire, in there.