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Re: madstocks5432 post# 5324

Thursday, 10/04/2012 9:19:01 AM

Thursday, October 04, 2012 9:19:01 AM

Post# of 68424
I like these parts:

"VirnetX was trading at $2 a share before the Microsoft settlement, and is now trading between $30-$40 per share after the Microsoft, Astra, and Mitel settlements. The share price has appreciated by a factor of 15 to 20, in line with our value multiplier of 15."


"If Vringo prevails over Google, and receives $710 million, Vringo should net about $568 million (Vringo stated it would keep 80% of any settlement fees as pure profit.) With a value multiplier of 5, that would give Vringo a market cap of $2.84 billion (multiply $568 million times 5). With a market cap of $2.84 billion, using a total diluted share count of 81.5 million, the Vringo share price would be $34.8."

"To be conservative, my analysis does not include the assumption of willful infringement, however if willful infringement is proven, the settlement figures could be larger than what I've projected. More importantly, willful infringement makes a jury's decision to rule against Google, almost inevitable."

Thanks for sharing!!!




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