Looks like the original matrix count that projected 1.0260 to 1.0270 was right to begin with. Thin leg down followed by a near 50% fib retrace. Last leg down has been choppy.
Minimum retrace from the bottom of the last leg would be 1.04 and likely 1.0440 to 1.0450.
There's still room for a bit more downside here but not much.