ajtj99's Market Pulse

[jdaasoc]

Hurricane hunters not making another flight over Rita until after market close at 4:15 PM. So hurricane strength is mostly speculation right now.

PS it is going to be major flooding event for most of Texas.

000
NOUS42 KNHC 201530
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
1130 AM EDT TUE 20 SEP 2005
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z SEP 2005
TCPOD NUMBER.....05-115

I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE RITA
FLIGHT ONE FLIGHT TWO
A. 21/1615Z A. 21/1800,22/0000Z


Also, like I said before Western Gulf is now at 85 degrees not 90 when Katrina hit. Right now Rita is over warmest water it will encounter so wind speed should be at it's highest.
Forecaster as of 8 AM is hedging that Rita may decrease to cat 3 storm some what like a ice skater opening their arms wider from their body slowing down their spin as it passes over slightly cooler water.


THE HEAT CONTENT IN THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO IS NOT AS FAVORABLE AS IN THE AREA OF THE LOOP CURRENT SO
SLIGHT WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED....BUT RITA IS EXPECTED TO MAKE
LANDFALL AS A MAJOR HURRICANE...AT LEAST CATEGORY THREE.