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Re: Rocky3 post# 145291

Wednesday, 07/11/2012 12:59:05 PM

Wednesday, July 11, 2012 12:59:05 PM

Post# of 257264
Re: Stock valuation

I see no reason that stocks growing at 6-7% (double the GNP growth rate over any long term period) should have a p/e over 8.

The question to ask is: How long can the company in question continue growing earnings at 6-7% per annum?

It’s mathematically trivial to show that any company who grows earnings indefinitely at a rate higher than the rate at which you discount future earnings has a net present value of infinity. This is why Peter is correct in saying that valuation analysis cannot be conducted without considering interest (i.e. discount) rates (#msg-77377475).

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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