The National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence said on Friday that while Zelboraf was effective for melanoma patients with a particular genetic mutation, its longer-term effect on survival was uncertain.
NICE said that, as a result, it could not recommend the drug as a cost-effective treatment for the deadliest form of skin cancer within the state-run National Health Service (NHS), even after an undisclosed price discount offered by Roche.
This sentence should worry other cancer-drug companies:
NICE said the longer-term survival benefits from using Zelboraf were uncertain because many patients in a key trial switched treatment as their disease progressed.
In other words, Zelboraf is being penalized for having its pivotal trial halted early due to strong efficacy.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”