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Monday, 02/10/2003 9:27:04 AM

Monday, February 10, 2003 9:27:04 AM

Post# of 704041
Morning Volatility Report

Friday was a down day with new 20 day lows in all indices. The NDX cash and COMPX had WR4 days. The SPX had its fourth down day in a row.

As I write this there is no gap at all in the emini, and a tiny up gap in the NQ, so the premarket offers no volatility clues.

The wide range day in Nasdaq indices argues for a neutral chop day today. The 4 down days in the SPX argues for a Taylor buy day with an up bias. The lack of high negative sentiment readings argues for more down. One possible scenario includes all three possibilities: more down this morning into high negative tick readings, then a choppy day with a slight upward bias? But given the crosscurrents, I'll just watch and see what transpires before jumping in with any daytrades.

The retail index had a wide range (WR4) down day.








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