Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[carl_p_r2]

Zeev, do you have any thoughts about the impact that H5N1 will make when it reaches Europe this week or next? It has moved from the lightly populated Novosibirsk region of Sibera to the poultry producing region around Tyumen in the last several days, and as migratory birds head for their European winter vacations, it will no doubt continue to move westward. What do you think the chances are that it will end up as a human pandemic, as opposed to just affecting the poultry of the region? As it moves into more populated regions, the answer will be clean enough soon, I suppose.

Carl