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Re: acgood post# 134920

Thursday, 01/12/2012 4:24:20 PM

Thursday, January 12, 2012 4:24:20 PM

Post# of 257443

ONTY…surprised this one won a spot in even your charity portfolio.

In such a contest, where there are manifold entrants and there is no second-place prize, you want to pick stocks with a high variance so you have a chance to win if something positive actually happens during the year. On the other hand, if a contest selection crashes and burns, it doesn’t hurt your winning chances in the contest by that much more than a stock that flatlines.

For the above reason, no one should confuse a set of selections in the SI Charity Contest (or any similar contest) with real-world biotech investing.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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