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Re: Tuff-Stuff post# 433890

Wednesday, 01/04/2012 8:21:12 AM

Wednesday, January 04, 2012 8:21:12 AM

Post# of 648882
PIMCO<BillGross<>Towards the Paranormal-January

INTRO:
The New Normal, previously believed to be bell-shaped and thin-tailed in its depiction of growth probability and financial market outcomes, appears to be morphing into a world of fat-tailed, almost bimodal outcomes.
A new duality – credit and zero-bound interest rate risk – characterizes the financial markets of 2012, offering the fat left-tailed possibility of unforeseen policy delevering or the fat right-tailed possibility of central bank inflationary expansion.
Until the outcome becomes clear, investors should consider ways to hedge their bets, including: maximizing durations, U.S. Treasury bonds that may potentially offer capital gains, long-term Treasury Inflation Protected Securities (TIPS), high quality corporates and senior bank debt, and select U.S. municipal bonds.

CONT http://www.pimco.com/EN/Insights/Pages/Towards-the-Paranormal-Jan-2012.aspx

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