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Re: iwfal post# 131862

Sunday, 11/27/2011 1:45:22 PM

Sunday, November 27, 2011 1:45:22 PM

Post# of 257259

…so I still do not understand why the generics makers care much at all about non-sub biosimilars. All told it looks like, perhaps, $4-8B spread over 10's of generic manufacturers in 6 or 7 years.

When mAbs come into play, the numerator will be considerably higher than $8B, IMO, and the denominator is apt to be considerably smaller than 10 (companies). Hence, the interest in non-substitutable FoB’s is not irrational.

The fallacy of composition applies, of course. Commercializing non-substitutable FoB’s can be a decent-sized business for a few companies; however, if every company with the capability to do it decides to do it, it will end up being a bust for most or all of them.

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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