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Re: iwfal post# 128527

Thursday, 10/20/2011 8:59:53 AM

Thursday, October 20, 2011 8:59:53 AM

Post# of 257302
iwfal,

"rare disease x which has 80% mortality within 1 week"

"DRUG B, cures only 70% of patients (the remaining 30% still die) but is very safe"

Drug B "cures" (by definition, eliminates the disease) in 70%, but why would the other 30% have to die? After all the disease has an 80% mortality rate, not 100%! The number who should die if 70% are cured is 30% x 80% = 24% only. So 76% survive if they take drug B.

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