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Re: TastyTheElf post# 128717

Tuesday, 10/18/2011 4:00:27 PM

Tuesday, October 18, 2011 4:00:27 PM

Post# of 257268
Re: Clark problem

Obviously your math is correct.

I thought that Clark was going for the false negatives when he first posted, but was surprised when he tossed out 30% rate, as 1/3 is the cut point at which the numbers flop.

So either:

Clark is using 30% to get the numbers close, and is saying there is still some minor unexplained effect we are both missing.

Or

Clark mistyped 30% and really meant 35% (which flips your math to B). In that case there still is another main point that I missed on the first cut that Clark still is looking for. If so I have a good answer (which would of course flip it back to A), but will keep my mouth shut.

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