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Re: DewDiligence post# 121049

Wednesday, 09/21/2011 12:26:23 PM

Wednesday, September 21, 2011 12:26:23 PM

Post# of 251707
Estimated Value of MNTA’s Non-Lovenox Assets

Updated from prior version in Jun 2011. Based on FDA approval of Amphastar’s
generic Lovenox, I’ve lowered the value ascribed to MNTA’s technology platform
that is separate from all of the announced programs from $525M to $275M; the
reason for the reduction—and the reason for not reducing the value even more
—is explained in #msg-67226273. (Note: I ascribe no separate value to MNTA’s
tax losses because I consider the NOL’s to be part of MNTA’s Lovenox asset.)


Estimated
Asset Value ($ Mln)

50% of NVS-MNTA
Copaxone collaboration 450

M118 0

M402 50

Worldwide rights to MNTA’s
proprietary technology for
all applications other than
Lovenox/Copaxone/M118/M402 †275

Cash and receivables ‡400

=========================== =====
All non-Lovenox assets 1,175


†See #msg-67226273.

‡Estimate for end of 3Q11.

JMHO, FWIW

“The efficient-market hypothesis may be
the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated
in any area of human knowledge!”

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