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Re: DewDiligence post# 125102

Sunday, 08/14/2011 11:55:41 PM

Sunday, August 14, 2011 11:55:41 PM

Post# of 257406
So Dew, do you mind explain what are your objections to Shiller's CAPE ?

I actually like it the first time I learned about it. It instantly appealed to my common sense.

Just before a mkt collapse , PEs (of SP500) historically looked cheap and at mkt bottom, PEs looked horribly high and expensive.

For a poor retailer sap like myself, how can I judge/tell whether a mkt is cheap or expensive. Take 95F for a summer average
temperature. In the desert where I have lived for the last 10 yrs, that would be actually a great summer ( not being so hot) but for Oregon where I lived for 30 yrs , it would have been a hot summer.


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