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Re: DewDiligence post# 125102

Sunday, 08/14/2011 11:26:59 PM

Sunday, August 14, 2011 11:26:59 PM

Post# of 257369

Robert Shiller’s CAPE* metric is utterly useless for valuing stocks, IMO.



Why? I'll stipulate that all metrics have some weaknesses - but Shiller's seems better than many as a long term valuation metric. E.g. recently there was an article positing the cheapness of stocks because the forward P/E is so low - but of course it is well known that the stock market movements precede the macro economy (and earnings trends).

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