The Black Box

[wahz]

I have found 6 nearly identical periods to now.

Four of them act almost the same over the next 5 months, and would conservatively project a peak of 2600-2850, maybe a touch higher if everything falls into place.

One just doesn't go as high and would conservatively target only 2300-2600, absolutely no higher no matter what.

One has been a bummer I have talked about many times before, as I started worrying about it in Fall 03. We don't take off until fall in this scenario, 2 years of consolidation, probably from around 2150/2190, but then explode to 4000 by Oct 07

That is the bigger picture stuff. I will post some expectations as we go along about once each season. All just my silly opinions