You'd better bring some of those posts, I cannot find any vehement arguments with you on 10/14. All I find is that on October 10 you stated you bought 100K Oct 20 puts (#msg-531147), till expiry, you never mentioned what happened to those, though on 10/15, you seem to have turned bullish since you mention holding onto your longs (#msg-539379), I cannot find when you launched those longs, though, since on 10/10 you were still holding that 100K of October QQQ puts. Yes, on Friday 10/11, after a sharp 100 plus Naz points run, I expected a relapse of 60 points, we got only half of that, on 10/16, 12 Naz points above that bad call, I recognized the error and put the horns back on at 1232 (#msg-540944). And yes, prior to that, after going bear hog on 9/11/02, I prematurely turned bullish enough to start a second Dow gambit on 9/23. It took two weeks of sweating before the 10/10 bottom was reached (but only one of the gambit was stopped out).
This is a short term trading thread, and if my indicator have a short term down turn of more than 50 Naz points, I point to such, it does not always work, the trick is to recognize fast enough that the indicators failed, as I did on 10/16 with only a 12 Naz points penalty. I don't expect to have all these short term calls successful, I hope no one else is.