bbgold - You make alot of good points.
But lets take a look at the last 10 Bear markets. Of the last 10, two of them lasted more than 8 months. That means 8 of them lasted 8 months or less. Of the two that lasted 18 months or longer one was 18 months and the other was 30 months. So that is 1 1/2 years and 2 1/2 yesrs. Before the 30 month bear market there was 135 months of Bull market -14 months of small Bear periods, before the 18 month bear market there was 56 months of Bull market.
Now lets look at the last 10 Bull markets including the current one, five of those lasted 11 months or less, the other five lasted 19 to 56 months.
During these 10 Bull/Bear markets there was 211 Bull months and 73 Bear months.
My point here is that the max down period over the last 23 years has been 25 months. However, over the past 23 years the total loss has been 2490.6 and the gain has been 3639.94
If during the 25 month down period, the investor added cash to there portfolio and continued investing using the SPX Cycles System. There profits would be even greater.
JMHO, Lindy
"Buy low, Sell high, stay with your system. If your system breaks fix it."