JNJ/ELN/PFE—I put the odds of [Bapineuzumab] success in non-carrier near 60% and carrier around 25%.
On JNJ’s Investor Day webcast yesterday, Husseini Manji (head of neuroscience) said the phase-2 Bapineuzumab data were reanalyzed by “eliminating the assumption of linearity,” and the reanalysis gave the company greater confidence that the phase-3 program will succeed. I’m not sure what he meant.
“The efficient-market hypothesis may be the foremost piece of B.S. ever promulgated in any area of human knowledge!”