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Re: Bullwinkle post# 4329

Sunday, 05/15/2005 2:12:41 PM

Sunday, May 15, 2005 2:12:41 PM

Post# of 217824
Thanks as always for your Update,BW.
I note this <<Equity Fund inflows increased last week by $4.4 Bln with most finding its way into the market via ETF's>>
This i just note i could rap about this for a long time:)
The explosion of the % of money that go into and out of ETFs is one of the factors in the "Metamorphosis" going on in market dynamics.
Hedging is major in various ETFs.
I won't burn out my brain cells rapping(what few i have left), the huge hedging factor has set up a mechanism for boom/bust cycles happening more frequently, imho.
At anytime that the Big Money hedgers decide to sell into their short positions you go into a bust cycle.
The ETFers big money players(often given over to being computer controlled) do not believe in fundamentals of individual stocks but only in momentum such IF a reversal starts a down trend it can last up to 2 years.
What i am confronted with here is whether this reversal forming now will realize itself or is there to be another bullside run.
The weekly NDX has had a slight cross of 17ema below 43ema, this , ironically, can be a signal for a prolonged down trend or the point for a strong rally---last year the 17/43 touched but didn't cross at rally time.
We now have just a slight crossing so can't be viewed as a confirmation--the cautious such as i remain watching this situation intently. Thanks again Bullwinkle for your work, it is greatly appreciated by i.:)




He played his video game night and day.
The MAZE of Death.
But that is the game we all are in, the trick, don't believe it.Get above it all and imagine nothing is what it seems.Kill the machine.otraque

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