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Re: ghmm post# 117371

Friday, 04/01/2011 6:58:06 AM

Friday, April 01, 2011 6:58:06 AM

Post# of 253612
I do not think any list of risky biotech plays would be complete if it did not include what is (based on past events) probably the king of risky biotech plays - Elan.

1)The test for the virus related to PML should serve to mitigate the severity and frequency of cases of PML.
If the perceved safety of the drug improves as a result of less cases of PML and a reduction in the severity of the cases that do appear,Tysabri will be more prescribed in the treatment of both MS and Crohns disease.

2) Elan holds a 49.9% equity interest in JANSSEN Alzheimer Immunotherapy, and will be entitled to a 49.9% share of the profits and certain royalty payments upon the commercialization of (bapineuzumab), a potential first-in-class treatment that is
in phase 3 testing for Alzheimer's disease.
The phase 3 results should come out in the 2012-2013 timeframe.

JMHO and worth what you paid for it.


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