The market is an efficient allocator of resources. It draws buyers when something is cheap; but it does not necessarily do that instantly. First, the market must recognize the stock is cheap. This entails forecasting. The market prints today, but does not print tomorrow, ergo, by definition it does not forecast. What is needed is someone that understands what the market is doing and figures out where it is going. That is the astute contrarian at the turning points. The issue is whether SUGO is at a turning point? How that is decided will mark the astute contrarian from the hopeful.