It IS speculative until something concrete comes out. The definition of speculation:
spec·u·la·tion (spky-lshn) n. 1. a. Contemplation or consideration of a subject; meditation. b. A conclusion, opinion, or theory reached by conjecture. c. Reasoning based on inconclusive evidence; conjecture or supposition.
There is no evidence to support there is a higher O/S other than using "if-then" formulas such as you have done. There IS evidence that the O/S is 5M at this time (although i do recognize it could be wrong). That is all I am trying to say.
First follow the money, and then let the money follow you!