Your problem is you are failing to take into account fundamentals like a 68 million share dump in progress. This will go lower until the dilution is finished. If it were that easy, this would have tore through the 14.9's and 15 at 2:30 pm, on the 10/60 ma cross. But you notice the mm's did not budge from that area even with huge buying volume. That is obviously the line in the sand drawn by the diluter. They will continue to hold that level as a selling point imo until they are out. You need to take that into account in your trading strategy.