"this bear won't be over until perhaps 6 months before there is strong improvement in the telecom industry" "Strong improvement" in telecom industry recovery is much much longer than just 6 months. More like 18 months IMO. Especially with news like these: 11/10/02 [DT] DEUTSCHE TELEKOM TO CUT CAP SPEND BY $3 BN:UK BUSINESS Cutting cap ex by that large an amount is a 12+ month process. And telecom cap ex has yet to reach bottom.