News Focus
News Focus
Followers 163
Posts 20152
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 07/08/2002

Re: plexxus post# 366269

Sunday, 03/06/2005 3:39:43 PM

Sunday, March 06, 2005 3:39:43 PM

Post# of 704041
plexxus,

Always enjoy your charts, thanks for sharing.

On the COMP Daily, did you notice the position of that symmetrical triangle within the larger falling channel which has completed four t/l touches, a partial retrace, and Friday closed just a hairsbreadth over the upper t/l (with a b/o target of 2200 which meshes nicely with the target of 2200 for the triangle if an upside b/o there occurs around 2100 as expected)? Looks good to go.

The candles, however, are telling a different tale. Thursday's long red candle was a Bearish Engulfing, and Friday added a Doji, thus forming a Harami Cross, indicating a significant trend reversal. Since the first candle of this Harami Cross is a long red candle (not white as one would expect at the top of an uptrend but rather what usually occurs at the bottom of a downtrend) as well as being a Bearish Engulfing, the meaning of this formation is ambiguous, IMO. Either the two formations complement and strengthen each other, in which case we are likely in for a strong move down, or the Harami Cross, with its bottom-trend-reversal appearance, could modify the Bearish Engulfing, indicating simply a trend change to a lateral move. Interesting dichotomy. JMO, of course, your mileage may vary.

http://www.ttrader.com/mycharts/display.php?p=31794&u=newly2b&a=Newly%5C%27s%20Charts&id...

BTW, note that a downside break of that triangle and the 1/24 low at 2008 (which broke long-term support going back to '98) would also mean a breakdown from the Rising Wedge on the Weekly chart going back to 1/02 (currently at 1212), with a downside target of 1100. So, IMO, a violent move down this coming week (minimum -70 pts) could result in Ze'ev's defenestrated Nassacre being undefenestrated . . . er . . . adefenestrated . . . er . . . irdefenestrated . . . er . . . inversely defenestrated . . . that is to say, hauled back in the window!

I await Monday's denouement with bated breath . . .

Newly

Discover What Traders Are Watching

Explore small cap ideas before they hit the headlines.

Join Today