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Alias Born 09/16/2002

Re: wahz post# 39647

Tuesday, 10/29/2002 9:28:12 PM

Tuesday, October 29, 2002 9:28:12 PM

Post# of 704047
I noticed that on an excellent poster on SI.
He is right almost everytime, but on the first day they often
go the opposite direction.
If I followed the intraday indicators, I might get a better position.
If I wait for a better entry I miss a big move in my favor.
And when I start fiddling too much (jumping in and out) or lock in gains, I end up not making nearly as much as I would if I stuck with the original entry point.

I am trying to ignore 1 min and 10 min charts unless I am
going to master gap-up and gap-down plays.

So I am using 30, 60, and daily charts.
The 30 and the 60 had buys at about 3:00est, but I stayed
with my position, betting the daily will be the best indicator
this time of a start of a down-cycle.

If I will be playing 30 min or even 60 min plays, I will
have to ignore other posters and overall trend indicators,
because those indicators will often correctly pick a
near-term counter-trend. The pitfall in this method is
gapups and gapdowns will screwup any overnight playing of those
timeframes. I like the longer-term DMI on those time-frames
and may use that more in the future.

However, if I can identify correctly the overall trend,
I think I can have better success.

BTW I notice a 5-dip ripple on my short-term stochastics
which I have never seen before in back-testing for 1000
days. IMO it means (1) people can't make up their minds
or (2) the market is being propped up on this downtrend.



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