LOOKING BACK
============
(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
(This will be the final posting of the LOOKING BACK report. Where possible, I'm supplying links to the sources I've used. I generated some of the data myself, and there's no practical access to that data. flg)
NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
http://dynamic.nasdaq.com/
02/18/05 102 34
02/22/05 69 23
02/23/05 51 29
02/24/05 148 55
02/25/05 273 91
02/28/05 108 62
NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
http://dynamic.nasdaq.com/
02/18/05 15 24
02/22/05 29 42
02/23/05 20 31
02/24/05 20 26
02/25/05 14 20
02/28/05 23 28
VOLUME FACTOR
http://finance.yahoo.com/advances
(This is the sum of the NYSE and NASD volumes,
in thousands, divided by 5,000,000.)
02/18/05 .63
02/22/05 .76
02/23/05 .68
02/24/05 .72
02/25/05 .66
02/28/05 .79
PUT/CALL RATIO
http://www.cboe.com/data/mktstat.aspx
02/18/05 .564
02/22/05 .456
02/23/05 .505
02/24/05 .752
02/25/05 .608
02/28/05 .520
OPTIMISM
(Generated from my own system and not available externally.)
02/18/05 -.08
02/22/05 -1.10
02/23/05 -1.43
02/24/05 -1.12
02/25/05 -.13
02/28/05 .41
COMPOSITE DAILY
(Generated from my own system and not available externally.)
02/18/05 1684
02/22/05 -8757
02/23/05 -5839
02/24/05 1284
02/25/05 7324
02/28/05 2822
The POWER numbers shown below are calculated thus:
(1 -
(
The closing price, plus
the closing price three days ago, plus
the closing price ten days ago, plus
The 10-day average closing price ten days ago, plus
The 10-day average closing price twenty days ago, plus
The 10-day average closing price thirty days ago
divided by the closing price times 6
)
) * 100
DIA INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 107.81 .85%
02/22/05 106.01 -.39%
02/23/05 106.83 .32%
02/24/05 107.41 .80%
02/25/05 108.36 1.40%
02/28/05 107.70 .86%
QQQQ INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 37.35 -1.45%
02/22/05 36.89 -2.21%
02/23/05 36.94 -1.90%
02/24/05 37.41 -.72%
02/25/05 37.62 -.25%
02/28/05 37.22 -1.07%
TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 .60 4.69
02/22/05 1.46 5.12
02/23/05 .75 5.12
02/24/05 .78 4.79
02/25/05 .81 4.40
02/28/05 1.45 5.25
TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 1.04 5.56
02/22/05 .93 5.92
02/23/05 1.10 6.47 (bearish progression?)
02/24/05 .70 5.82 (maybe not)
02/25/05 1.48 5.25
02/28/05 1.11 5.32
VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 17.87 17.63
02/22/05 19.00 18.10
02/23/05 18.44 18.29
02/24/05 17.61 18.14
02/25/05 17.34 17.89
02/28/05 18.07 17.89
VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 11.05 11.35
02/22/05 12.83 11.83
02/23/05 12.28 12.04
02/24/05 11.30 11.86
02/25/05 11.27 11.67
02/28/05 11.86 11.71
NASDAQ INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 2058.62 -1.00%
02/22/05 2030.32 -1.92%
02/23/05 2031.25 -1.69%
02/24/05 2051.70 -.73%
02/25/05 2065.40 -.17%
02/28/05 2051.72 -.68%
DJ-30 INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 10785.22 .86%
02/22/05 10611.20 -.34%
02/23/05 10673.79 .21%
02/24/05 10748.79 .82%
02/25/05 10841.60 1.41%
02/28/05 10766.23 .79%
DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 186.91 -.05%
02/22/05 186.71 -.11%
02/23/05 187.09 .06%
02/24/05 187.02 .01%
02/25/05 187.18 .04%
02/28/05 186.32 -.33%
US Dollar INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 83.48 .27%
02/22/05 82.44 -.72%
02/23/05 82.81 -.34%
02/24/05 82.90 -.25%
02/25/05 82.63 -.57%
02/28/05 82.59 -.64%
HUI INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 209.98 1.42%
02/22/05 217.74 4.10%
02/23/05 216.77 3.62%
02/24/05 214.62 2.72%
02/25/05 215.36 3.05%
02/28/05 215.32 3.07%
NYSE INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 7287.47 1.32%
02/22/05 7211.17 .53%
02/23/05 7243.28 .90%
02/24/05 7283.28 1.35%
02/25/05 7361.89 2.09%
02/28/05 7321.23 1.56%
S&P 500 INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 1201.59 .47%
02/22/05 1184.16 -.59%
02/23/05 1190.80 -.06%
02/24/05 1200.20 .62%
02/25/05 1211.37 1.26%
02/28/05 1203.60 .69%
McClellan INDEX
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 1338.44
02/22/05 1216.07
02/23/05 1138.87
02/24/05 1113.02
02/25/05 1162.55
02/28/05 1171.43
XGLD INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 426.80 .32%
02/22/05 435.40 1.85%
02/23/05 433.70 1.48%
02/24/05 433.50 1.40%
02/25/05 434.80 1.65%
02/28/05 435.50 1.77%
XOI INDEX POWER
(Index from TC-2000 data, available from several sources)
02/18/05 827.00 6.94%
02/22/05 827.21 6.70%
02/23/05 834.89 7.01%
02/24/05 847.58 7.77%
02/25/05 863.09 8.62%
02/28/05 861.39 8.03%
SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
02/28 Our Optimism Index moved up and went positive.
Perhaps today's weakness was a fake-out. The
bond index is showing weakness. The dollar index
was down a trace and XGLD was up a little. XOI
stopped its race higher and seems to have had a
volatile day.
02/25 Our Optimism Index climbed back to near neutral.
The dollar index slipped 27-cents, XGLD was up, and
the XOI rocket went to afterburners.
02/24 Our Optimism Index turned up. The dollar index
was up a few pennies, XGLD was down a few cents,
and XOI was up well over $12.00
02/23 Our Optimism Index slunk a little lower. The
dollar index recovered about 1/3rd of yesterday's
loss while XGLD gave back about 20% of yesterday's
gain. XOI resumed its climb.
02/22 Our Optimism Index fell quite sharply. The
dollar index tanked and XGLD soared. XOI was
steady.
02/18 Our (lack of) Optimism Index went negative.
Even Ol' McClellan is rolling over to the downside.
The dollar index was unchanged, so was XGLD, but
XOI continued its rampage. It's up $100 since
January 24th. That's a heady run.
AI
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