News Focus
News Focus
Post# of 257261
Next 10
Followers 36
Posts 2637
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 10/06/2003

Re: Mpower post# 106845

Thursday, 10/21/2010 2:23:57 AM

Thursday, October 21, 2010 2:23:57 AM

Post# of 257261
Addressing that question suggests looking at what the channel should hold.

Inventory will be in both the wholesale channel and the retailers.

I would guess that the lower bound of that is for the channel to require 2 weeks of sales in those inventories. Call that $50M. maybe two weeks is too low. But if not, then there could be $100M of inventory workdown to come - said another way, the annualized sales run rate is too high.

For my part, it is clear that sales are going to be in the 50/50 area +-10% points. Good enough for me at this point. We will know more soon enough.

mL is a blockbuster.

ij


There are times when rules and precedents cannot be broken; others when they cannot be adhered to with safety. (Thomas Joplin)

Trade Smarter with Thousands

Leverage decades of market experience shared openly.

Join Now