News Focus
News Focus
Post# of 257262
Next 10
Followers 36
Posts 2637
Boards Moderated 0
Alias Born 10/06/2003

Re: jbog post# 106434

Saturday, 10/16/2010 6:49:29 PM

Saturday, October 16, 2010 6:49:29 PM

Post# of 257262

In my view all QEII will do is force our middle-class and working-class Americans into a a situation where they'll pay more and more for energy, food and necessities



That is true of crude derivatives but not NG, coal or nuclear power. It is not true of food which by value runs around 6% of food by cost. Not at all sure on "necessities" whatever those are.

But QE2 will have three major effects, inflating asset prices, lowering interest rates and lowering the trade deficit (exports up and imports down).

Each of those will be positives for US employment. But the head wind will be fiscal drags as governments try to reduce the deficits.

Netting it all out, I would guess that unemployment will go over 10% and end 2011 near 10%.

ij

There are times when rules and precedents cannot be broken; others when they cannot be adhered to with safety. (Thomas Joplin)

Discover What Traders Are Watching

Explore small cap ideas before they hit the headlines.

Join Today