*TOL - Toll Brothers CEO was on CNBC earlier, and admittedly the company blew out earnings, and gave stronger forward guidance then "the street" expected. However, a key comment was that the forward guidance is based on the backlogs... some may see this as bullish, I see this as bearish. Everyone has purged on getting a new home, and further growth is already accounted for, when that backlog is finished, will they still be building at the same rate... or even half the same rate? I like the CEO, he seems like a good guy, he said shorts will roast... but at the same time insiders have been dumping millions in options so far in '05: http://finance.yahoo.com/q/it?s=TOL