I apologize, but the model is too complex for a short post. You'll have to rely on that model record to dat which is better than 80%, including last week when everyone was groaning, a call for a major first move up in the sox. We had it, and now it may be time for that relapse, though, that relapse was supposed to start today. We actually went half way to the target (nominally 237/40) early today, and I did not have a chance so far to check if that hick-up was sufficient to abrogate the extremes registered earlier in the week. I doubt it did.
Zeev