I still say that the map really is not that wrong. The trend is following the map perfectly. It is possible that it is just out of phase. It started to be out of phase when there was no retrnch in December. You never adjusted to that and keep waiting for the next move up which may not come. What is funny about your map is that I am also waiting for that next wave up, maybe the v of 5. But, your map which is so clearly being followed, just a month too early, is really convincing me to put away the party hat and is keeping me mostly hedged. Look at how perfectly your map is tracking the move if you just push it back a little starting in December.