Wednesday, February 09, 2005 9:36:19 PM
LOOKING BACK
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
02/02/05 230 88
02/03/05 171 72
02/04/05 314 107
02/07/05 171 71
02/08/05 158 79
02/09/05 66 34
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
02/02/05 11 13
02/03/05 16 23
02/04/05 12 16
02/07/05 11 11
02/08/05 13 12
02/09/05 14 31
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VOLUME FACTOR
02/02/05 .72
02/03/05 .71
02/04/05 .72
02/07/05 .61
02/08/05 .68
02/09/05 .70
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PUT/CALL RATIO
02/02/05 .448
02/03/05 .594
02/04/05 .421
02/07/05 .417
02/08/05 .498
02/09/05 .640
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OPTIMISM
02/02/05 2.77 ALERT!
02/03/05 2.53 ALERT!
02/04/05 2.60 ALERT!
02/07/05 2.23 ALERT!
02/08/05 1.84
02/09/05 .98
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COMPOSITE DAILY
02/02/05 13826
02/03/05 9917
02/04/05 16553
02/07/05 12596
02/08/05 12462
02/09/05 1978
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DIA INDEX POWER
02/02/05 105.88 -.02%
02/03/05 105.90 -.08%
02/04/05 107.00 .66%
02/07/05 107.01 .58%
02/08/05 107.25 .67%
02/09/05 106.74 .29%
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QQQQ INDEX POWER
02/02/05 37.58 -2.10%
02/03/05 37.15 -2.95%
02/04/05 37.75 -1.52%
02/07/05 37.67 -1.61%
02/08/05 37.74 -1.44%
02/09/05 37.11 -2.64%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
02/02/05 .85 4.92
02/03/05 1.26 5.25
02/04/05 .98 4.91
02/07/05 1.22 5.25
02/08/05 1.12 5.43
02/09/05 1.63 6.21
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
02/02/05 .99 4.67
02/03/05 1.91 5.69
02/04/05 .62 5.16
02/07/05 1.38 5.79
02/08/05 .88 5.78
02/09/05 2.00 6.79
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
02/02/05 17.30 17.90
02/03/05 17.36 17.65
02/04/05 16.92 17.33
02/07/05 17.56 17.33
02/08/05 17.60 17.40
02/09/05 18.24 17.70
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
02/02/05 11.38 12.00
02/03/05 11.78 11.82
02/04/05 10.92 11.43
02/07/05 11.21 11.30
02/08/05 11.22 11.24
02/09/05 12.12 11.52
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
02/02/05 2075.06 -.98%
02/03/05 2057.64 -1.64%
02/04/05 2086.66 -.47%
02/07/05 2082.03 -.64%
02/08/05 2086.68 -.50%
02/09/05 2052.55 -1.72%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
02/02/05 10596.79 -.01%
02/03/05 10593.10 -.12%
02/04/05 10716.13 .72%
02/07/05 10715.76 .63%
02/08/05 10724.63 .60%
02/09/05 10664.11 .16%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
02/02/05 187.81 .66%
02/03/05 187.68 .58%
02/04/05 188.87 1.04%
02/07/05 189.51 1.23%
02/08/05 189.75 1.24%
02/09/05 190.21 1.36%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
02/02/05 83.54 .87%
02/03/05 83.92 1.16%
02/04/05 84.43 1.55%
02/07/05 85.13 2.06%
02/08/05 85.14 1.94%
02/09/05 84.94 1.66%
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HUI INDEX POWER
02/02/05 203.46 -1.85%
02/03/05 198.76 -3.61%
02/04/05 197.73 -3.79%
02/07/05 192.37 -5.36%
02/08/05 192.64 -5.21%
02/09/05 195.55 -3.64%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
02/02/05 7169.39 .71%
02/03/05 7148.32 .39%
02/04/05 7217.43 1.09%
02/07/05 7200.91 .84%
02/08/05 7207.45 .83%
02/09/05 7161.99 .33%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
02/02/05 1193.19 .21%
02/03/05 1189.89 -.08%
02/04/05 1203.03 .74%
02/07/05 1201.72 .59%
02/08/05 1202.30 .56%
02/09/05 1191.99 -.10%
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McClellan INDEX
02/02/05 704.74
02/03/05 775.20
02/04/05 899.47
02/07/05 997.42
02/08/05 1087.38
02/09/05 1108.21
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XGLD INDEX POWER
02/02/05 421.40 -1.51%
02/03/05 416.80 -2.23%
02/04/05 413.60 -2.70%
02/07/05 413.10 -2.59%
02/08/05 412.30 -2.61%
02/09/05 413.30 -2.30%
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XOI INDEX POWER
02/02/05 765.25 4.16%
02/03/05 770.72 4.40%
02/04/05 773.56 4.44%
02/07/05 769.15 3.84%
02/08/05 774.99 4.25%
02/09/05 773.25 3.96%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
02/09 Our Optimism Index is doing a pretty good job of
raising the warning flag. It's still falling and has
fallen out of the area we consider bullish. TRIN/TRINQ
Bretz numbers both popped above 6, showing considerable
anxiety. VXN/VXO moved up, too. The dollar index fell
a little, XGLD moved up a dollar, and XOI yielded just
a trace.
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02/08 Our Optimism Index is retreating and fell out
of the ALERT area. The dollar index was steady,
XGLD fell a trifle and XOI made back yesterday's
loss and a little more.
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02/07 Our Optimism Index is slowly giving ground and is still
sounding ALERTs. McClellan is still strong. The bond index
is still roaring and the dollar index is, too. XGLD fell a
little and XOI gave back Friday's gain.
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02/04 Our Optimism Index is still pushing out ALERTS!
telling us things are good and all good things come
to an end. The bond index hit a new high (again),
confirmed by strength in TLT. Even McClellan was
quite enthusiastic. The dollar index had a strong
day, XGLD fell again and XOI was up a little more.
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02/03 Our Optimism Index turned down but is still in
ALERT territory. The dollar index was up, XGLD fell
a bunch, and XOI was strong again.
02/02 Optimism Index is still rambunctious. The bond
index continues to inch higher. The dollar index
was steady, XGLD was up a little and XOI was strong
again. It's up about 10% since a little sell-off
at the first the year.
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