LOOKING BACK
============
(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
01/25/05 41 19
01/26/05 68 34
01/27/05 88 41
01/28/05 53 28
01/31/05 155 66
02/01/05 216 82
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
01/25/05 18 34
01/26/05 18 19
01/27/05 17 19
01/28/05 16 14
01/31/05 11 11
02/01/05 9 18
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VOLUME FACTOR
01/25/05 .72
01/26/05 .76
01/27/05 .75
01/28/05 .75
01/31/05 .71
02/01/05 .73
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PUT/CALL RATIO
01/25/05 .639
01/26/05 .532
01/27/05 .451
01/28/05 .596
01/31/05 .519
02/01/05 .489
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OPTIMISM
01/25/05 -1.27
01/26/05 -.45
01/27/05 .39
01/28/05 .81
01/31/05 1.75
02/01/05 2.45 ALERT!
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COMPOSITE DAILY
01/25/05 -12443
01/26/05 -1906
01/27/05 -2047
01/28/05 -5978
01/31/05 7859 (corrected)
02/01/05 11991
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DIA INDEX POWER
01/25/05 104.59 -.86%
01/26/05 104.79 -.76%
01/27/05 104.57 -.98%
01/28/05 104.44 -1.06%
01/31/05 104.80 -.75%
02/01/05 105.40 -.31%
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QQQQ INDEX POWER
01/25/05 36.71 -4.48%
01/26/05 37.15 -3.36%
01/27/05 37.10 -3.47%
01/28/05 36.92 -3.79%
01/31/05 37.40 -2.59%
02/01/05 37.52 -2.26%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
01/25/05 .84 7.12
01/26/05 1.12 6.24
01/27/05 .93 5.83
01/28/05 1.32 5.47
01/31/05 .88 5.09
02/01/05 .94 5.19
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
01/25/05 .59 6.68
01/26/05 .81 5.64
01/27/05 .89 5.31
01/28/05 1.15 5.07
01/31/05 .75 4.19
02/01/05 .89 4.49
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
01/25/05 19.52 19.56
01/26/05 18.92 19.37
01/27/05 18.58 19.08
01/28/05 18.58 18.86
01/31/05 18.43 18.64
02/01/05 17.76 18.29
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
01/25/05 13.63 14.16
01/26/05 13.07 13.79
01/27/05 12.78 13.38
01/28/05 13.33 13.25
01/31/05 12.37 12.89
02/01/05 11.62 12.41
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
01/25/05 2019.95 -3.26%
01/26/05 2046.09 -2.14%
01/27/05 2047.15 -2.16%
01/28/05 2035.83 -2.59%
01/31/05 2062.41 -1.46%
02/01/05 2068.70 -1.20%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
01/25/05 10461.56 -.90%
01/26/05 10498.59 -.66%
01/27/05 10467.40 -.97%
01/28/05 10427.20 -1.25%
01/31/05 10489.94 -.72%
02/01/05 10551.94 -.27%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
01/25/05 186.62 .46%
01/26/05 186.88 .53%
01/27/05 186.77 .45%
01/28/05 187.52 .71%
01/31/05 187.72 .72%
02/01/05 187.73 .66%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
01/25/05 83.94 1.49%
01/26/05 83.21 .76%
01/27/05 83.41 .91%
01/28/05 83.45 .94%
01/31/05 83.57 1.00%
02/01/05 83.51 .89%
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HUI INDEX POWER
01/25/05 201.09 -4.63%
01/26/05 203.10 -3.25%
01/27/05 203.33 -2.75%
01/28/05 201.99 -3.06%
01/31/05 201.57 -2.99%
02/01/05 202.89 -2.22%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
01/25/05 6998.64 -.93%
01/26/05 7046.40 -.40%
01/27/05 7048.97 -.43%
01/28/05 7031.99 -.65%
01/31/05 7089.83 .00
02/01/05 7146.21 .57%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
01/25/05 1168.41 -1.30%
01/26/05 1174.07 -.91%
01/27/05 1174.55 -.93%
01/28/05 1171.36 -1.14%
01/31/05 1181.27 -.46%
02/01/05 1189.41 .05%
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McClellan INDEX
01/25/05 567.13
01/26/05 531.70
01/27/05 511.39
01/28/05 475.68
01/31/05 517.06
02/01/05 599.96
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XGLD INDEX POWER
01/25/05 421.80 -2.25%
01/26/05 426.20 -1.26%
01/27/05 426.10 -1.17%
01/28/05 426.60 -1.02%
01/31/05 422.40 -1.70%
02/01/05 420.60 -1.86%
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XOI INDEX POWER
01/25/05 729.85 1.28%
01/26/05 737.44 2.02%
01/27/05 740.19 2.24%
01/28/05 735.59 1.67%
01/31/05 745.51 2.62%
02/01/05 758.91 3.82%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
02/01 Our Optimism Index has gotten too exuberant,
suggesting a top in 5 days or so (is this an abnormal
reaction caused by the unexpectedness and severity of
January's fall? I don't know.) The dollar index
trickled down a few cents, XGLD fell and XOI is
working on a moon-shot.
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01/31 The Optimism Index was downright enthusiastic
today. We had a healthy swing in our COMPOSITE
reading. Other indicators suggest there is greater
strength in NYSE issues than NASD. The bond index
continues to make new highs. Even McClellan stopped
falling and edged up a little. The dollar index
moved up a few pennies, XGLD fell more than $4.00
and XOI was up almost $10.00.
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01/28 An unexpected (by me) setback. Is it temporary?
Our Optimism Index thinks so. The corporate bond
index closed at a new high. The dollar index was
steady, XGLD was steady and XOI was down a little.
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01/27 Optimism Index is positive. The dollar index
ticked up, XGLD was steady, and XOI edged up a
little more.
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01/26 Our Optimism Index has started to improve.
Bretz TRIN turned down from yesterday's recent
high. The bond index reversed up and closed at
its highest point in ("forever"). The dollar
index gave back yesterday's gain, and more.
XGLD rose but didn't reach yesterday's high.
XOI rose and is nearing its November high.
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01/25 The bond index ticked down after a healthy
run. The dollar index was strong, XGLD fell
and XOI was up.
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