Zeev's Turnips Patch-No Politics (ZEEV)

[Train Guy]

OT All right, it's starting to break apart. Looking ragged on radar. Eyewall is starting to collapse. Looks like some shear has shown up, and drier air is hitting it from the west. The pressure has been raising. If it would just slow down the forward speed a little, could easily get it under 100kt by land fall. You could see that about 10p last night it had started to spin down. The NHC has to play it conservative, so really couldn't say anything. They have enough trouble getting people to prepare.

AIRCRAFT FLIGHT-LEVEL AND DROPSONDE DATA INDICATE THAT LILI HAS
WEAKENED SIGNIFICANTLY SINCE REACHING ITS PEAK INTENSITY YESTERDAY
EVENING. THE HURRICANE HUNTERS REPORTED THAT THE EYEWALL HAS
COLLAPSED INTO A FEW FRAGMENTS...HOWEVER WSR-88D FROM NEW ORLEANS
AND LAKE CHARLES STILL SHOW ABOUT 50 PER CENT OF AN EYEWALL...OPEN
TO THE SOUTH. WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SUGGESTS SOME ELONGATION OF THE
CLOUD PATTERN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...INDICATING SOME POSSIBLE
SHEAR. RADAR IMAGES SUGGEST SOME EROSION OF THE PRECIP PATTERN OVER
THE SOUTHWESTERN PART OF THE CIRCULATION...INDICATING A POSSIBLE
INTRUSION OF DRY AIR. ALSO...THERE IS A SHALLOWER LAYER OF WARM
WATER AVAILABLE OVER THE NORTHWEST GULF AS COMPARED TO FARTHER SOUTH
AND EAST. ALL OF THE ABOVE FACTORS MAY HAVE CONTRIBUTED TO THE
DECLINE. DESPITE THE WEAKENING...LILI IS STILL A FORMIDABLE
HURRICANE AND...SINCE IT IS MOVING AT A FAIRLY FAST FORWARD
SPEED...IT CAN STILL SPREAD STRONG WINDS AS FAR AS 150 MI INLAND.