That part seems easy enough. After watching for a few months now and working with the team, I am better able to identify whether buyers or sells are winning the battle on a given day. And like you said, if the demand is greater than supply, yet it acts the other way around, naked shorts must be getting pumped in. Either that or dilution, but in regards to the FLDs, we know dilution is not the issue and easily confirmed with a phone call.
Yet again, the simplest answer seems like the right one. I shouldn't overanalyze.
Bet on the jockey, not the horse.