LOOKING BACK
============
(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
01/03/05 39 44
01/04/05 19 18
01/05/05 19 14
01/06/05 28 20
01/07/05 33 22
01/10/05 34 47
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
01/03/05 13 3
01/04/05 19 14
01/05/05 14 10
01/06/05 18 14
01/07/05 15 14
01/10/05 14 14
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VOLUME FACTOR
01/03/05 .75
01/04/05 .86
01/05/05 .83
01/06/05 .75
01/07/05 .74
01/10/05 .72
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PUT/CALL RATIO
01/03/05 .506
01/04/05 .481
01/05/05 .632
01/06/05 .655
01/07/05 .748
01/10/05 .626
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OPTIMISM
01/03/05 .87
01/04/05 -.24
01/05/05 -1.56
01/06/05 -2.11 ALERT!
01/07/05 -2.21 ALERT!
01/10/05 -1.64
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COMPOSITE DAILY
01/03/05 3688
01/04/05 -8319
01/05/05 -13943
01/06/05 -10693
01/07/05 -12547
01/10/05 -7611
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DIA INDEX POWER
01/03/05 107.32 .82%
01/04/05 106.30 .08%
01/05/05 105.71 -.32%
01/06/05 106.04 -.02%
01/07/05 105.84 -.17%
01/10/05 106.20 .07%
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QQQQ INDEX POWER
01/03/05 39.50 .05%
01/04/05 38.78 -1.35%
01/05/05 38.54 -1.71%
01/06/05 38.35 -1.98%
01/07/05 38.55 -1.54%
01/10/05 38.53 -1.59%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
01/03/05 1.34 5.32
01/04/05 2.53 7.25
01/05/05 1.15 7.41
01/06/05 .84 7.06
01/07/05 1.26 7.12
01/10/05 .95 6.73
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
01/03/05 1.03 4.83
01/04/05 1.33 4.66
01/05/05 1.05 5.00
01/06/05 1.32 5.72
01/07/05 .61 5.34
01/10/05 1.64 5.95
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
01/03/05 19.50 18.59
01/04/05 20.06 19.18
01/05/05 20.18 19.65
01/06/05 20.13 19.94
01/07/05 19.15 19.76
01/10/05 19.61 19.70
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
01/03/05 14.20 13.41
01/04/05 14.13 13.76
01/05/05 13.97 13.93
01/06/05 14.17 14.07
01/07/05 13.85 14.02
01/10/05 13.17 13.72
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
01/03/05 2152.15 .89%
01/04/05 2107.86 -.71%
01/05/05 2091.24 -1.19%
01/06/05 2090.00 -1.12%
01/07/05 2088.61 -1.17%
01/10/05 2097.04 -.87%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
01/03/05 10729.43 .79%
01/04/05 10630.78 .08%
01/05/05 10597.83 -.12%
01/06/05 10622.88 .10%
01/07/05 10603.96 -.07%
01/10/05 10621.03 .03%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
01/03/05 186.03 .57%
01/04/05 185.23 .20%
01/05/05 185.41 .27%
01/06/05 185.23 .20%
01/07/05 185.23 .18%
01/10/05 185.34 .21%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
01/03/05 81.36 -.70%
01/04/05 82.52 .38%
01/05/05 82.57 .34%
01/06/05 83.13 .81%
01/07/05 83.59 1.21%
01/10/05 83.35 .94%
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HUI INDEX POWER
01/03/05 206.54 -7.04%
01/04/05 202.15 -8.36%
01/05/05 201.76 -7.89%
01/06/05 201.29 -7.66%
01/07/05 202.33 -6.90%
01/10/05 204.75 -5.65%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
01/03/05 7179.71 .94%
01/04/05 7090.52 -.01%
01/05/05 7055.21 -.32%
01/06/05 7076.94 -.02%
01/07/05 7057.51 -.27%
01/10/05 7081.70 -.03%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
01/03/05 1202.08 .62%
01/04/05 1188.05 -.27%
01/05/05 1183.74 -.47%
01/06/05 1187.89 -.14%
01/07/05 1186.19 -.29%
01/10/05 1190.25 -.06%
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McClellan INDEX
01/03/05 2225.46
01/04/05 2085.06
01/05/05 1890.74
01/06/05 1738.99
01/07/05 1570.45
01/10/05 1456.95
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XGLD INDEX POWER
01/03/05 429.10 -2.21%
01/04/05 426.80 -2.51%
01/05/05 426.10 -2.47%
01/06/05 421.00 -3.35%
01/07/05 417.50 -3.88%
01/10/05 419.40 -3.34%
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XOI INDEX POWER
01/03/05 699.82 -1.99%
01/04/05 694.79 -2.36%
01/05/05 691.91 -2.45%
01/06/05 703.91 -1.04%
01/07/05 700.19 -1.53%
01/10/05 703.23 -1.25%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
01/10 Our Optimism Index improved but McClellan still
doesn't agree, emphatically (personally, I think
McClellan is just running to catch up ... but what
do I know?) The dollar index stopped its run up
(at least, for a day) and XGLD stopped its fall.
XOI was fairly steady.
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01/07 I laughed at McClellan yesterday. Maybe it's smarter
than I am. The dollar index was strong again. XGLD
dropped below $420 and XOI gave back a little of yesterday's
gain.
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01/06 Our Optimism Index fell to -2.11 and lit an ALERT,
suggesting a possible turn up in the next several days.
McClellan is still plunging. The dollar index rose to
its highest point since November, XGLD fell to $421
and XOI popped up over $700.
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01/05 I guess Keynes was right, the market can stay
irrational longer than I can stay solvent. Our
Optimism Index is pessimistic and the overall
rating on our Group Activity Report has gone
negative. I don't know if it's over, but it
better lighten up soon or I'll be down in that
cardboard shack under the bridge with Marie.
Shoot! Even Ol' McClellan tanked. The dollar
index was steady as was XGLD. XOI slipped a bit.
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01/04 Our Optimism Index went negative. For those who keep
an eye on my Group Activity Report, you can see that the
rating has taken gas. That's relatively unusual and
suggests confirmation of the widespread malaise we see
in the indices. I can't say whether the sell-off has been
overdone, but it has been quite sharp. TRIN popped up
today. McClellan was weak. The dollar index had a very
strong day, up over a buck. XGLD and XOI both fell.
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01/03 Our Optimism Index is looking a little glum
tonight. VXN/VXO are trending up. The dollar
index was up, XGLD was down and XOI tanked.
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AI
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