Dew, regarding your backgammon style likelihood analysis,
Now that the ISEL results are public, I'm curious as to what data you crunched and how you crunched it to come up with your likelihood analysis that you previously posted here.
I'm not sure if this is proprietary or something that you want to keep private (in which case i'm sure you will think of an elegant and polite way of not answering), otherwise I'd be curious to know.
Also, FWIW businessman(whatever his name is) on the IMCL board doesn't write like I would expect Icahn to write. Specifically, I believe Icahn was born in NY & graduated from Princeton. businessmanxyz's English grammar seems more like that of a Viennese bodybuilder, if you get my drift. But you seem to have additional information here that I do not. So, as I say, FWIW.
"Money ain't everything--Unless you don't got any."
-stated philosophy of my father and uncle.