Monday, December 13, 2004 9:19:19 PM
LOOKING BACK
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
12/06/04 120 59
12/07/04 27 29
12/08/04 45 34
12/09/04 92 36
12/10/04 123 56
12/13/04 157 80
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
12/06/04 12 5
12/07/04 16 13
12/08/04 16 9
12/09/04 15 11
12/10/04 12 6
12/13/04 13 3
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VOLUME FACTOR
12/06/04 .70
12/07/04 .85
12/08/04 .79
12/09/04 .79
12/10/04 .65
12/13/04 .70
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PUT/CALL RATIO
12/06/04 .435
12/07/04 .500
12/08/04 .593
12/09/04 .538
12/10/04 .370
12/13/04 .416
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OPTIMISM
12/06/04 .91
12/07/04 .00
12/08/04 -.47
12/09/04 -.78
12/10/04 -.79
12/13/04 -.14
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COMPOSITE DAILY
12/06/04 14498
12/07/04 3067
12/08/04 5653
12/09/04 6231
12/10/04 5756
12/13/04 12376
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DIA INDEX POWER
12/06/04 105.35 1.68%
12/07/04 104.41 .96%
12/08/04 105.01 1.41%
12/09/04 105.38 1.61%
12/10/04 105.50 1.55%
12/13/04 106.45 2.09%
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QQQQ INDEX POWER
12/06/04 40.27 4.29%
12/07/04 39.58 2.82%
12/08/04 39.81 3.15%
12/09/04 40.05 3.48%
12/10/04 39.93 3.00%
12/13/04 40.28 3.44%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
12/06/04 .99 4.86
12/07/04 1.53 5.40
12/08/04 1.24 6.03
12/09/04 .82 5.98
12/10/04 1.38 5.96
12/13/04 .72 5.69
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
12/06/04 .37 2.94
12/07/04 .62 2.53
12/08/04 2.01 4.15
12/09/04 .79 4.22
12/10/04 1.11 4.90
12/13/04 .56 5.09
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
12/06/04 19.53 18.80
12/07/04 20.28 19.32
12/08/04 20.01 19.66
12/09/04 19.84 19.83
12/10/04 19.57 19.82
12/13/04 18.78 19.47
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
12/06/04 13.57 13.63
12/07/04 14.18 13.82
12/08/04 13.72 13.81
12/09/04 13.23 13.61
12/10/04 13.20 13.47
12/13/04 13.55 13.46
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
12/06/04 2151.25 4.01%
12/07/04 2114.66 2.56%
12/08/04 2126.11 2.90%
12/09/04 2129.01 2.90%
12/10/04 2128.07 2.66%
12/13/04 2148.50 3.18%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
12/06/04 10547.06 1.84%
12/07/04 10440.58 1.02%
12/08/04 10494.23 1.43%
12/09/04 10552.82 1.80%
12/10/04 10543.22 1.56%
12/13/04 10638.32 2.11%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
12/06/04 184.47 .32%
12/07/04 184.65 .31%
12/08/04 185.97 .81%
12/09/04 185.97 .75%
12/10/04 185.97 .69%
12/13/04 185.71 .57%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
12/06/04 81.34 -2.55%
12/07/04 81.26 -2.46%
12/08/04 81.83 -1.80%
12/09/04 82.11 -1.45%
12/10/04 82.67 -.87%
12/13/04 82.14 -1.33%
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HUI INDEX POWER
12/06/04 224.62 -2.78%
12/07/04 218.62 -4.81%
12/08/04 215.10 -5.84%
12/09/04 214.85 -5.63%
12/10/04 213.56 -5.97%
12/13/04 217.38 -4.39%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
12/06/04 7082.58 2.49%
12/07/04 7014.72 1.67%
12/08/04 7029.97 1.79%
12/09/04 7048.10 1.92%
12/10/04 7028.51 1.56%
12/13/04 7102.41 2.22%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
12/06/04 1190.25 2.26%
12/07/04 1177.07 1.34%
12/08/04 1182.81 1.69%
12/09/04 1189.24 2.03%
12/10/04 1188.00 1.77%
12/13/04 1198.68 2.30%
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McClellan INDEX
12/06/04 2650.98
12/07/04 2537.83
12/08/04 2452.14
12/09/04 2371.52
12/10/04 2299.28
12/13/04 2268.12
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XGLD INDEX POWER
12/06/04 451.90 2.60%
12/07/04 450.20 2.18%
12/08/04 440.20 .43%
12/09/04 436.80 -.10%
12/10/04 433.40 -.60%
12/13/04 439.00 .41%
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XOI INDEX POWER
12/06/04 718.25 .88%
12/07/04 705.34 -.56%
12/08/04 708.13 -.16%
12/09/04 710.95 .18%
12/10/04 704.92 -.54%
12/13/04 717.04 .76%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
12/13 I'm impressed. The orderly consolidation seems
to be turning into an orderly advance. Of course,
we have to keep in mind that this is quadruple-witching
week, so it could be quite volatile. McClellan resisted
the bouyancy, but it's often a little late to the party.
The dollar index gave back Friday's gain, XLGD was up
over $5 and XOI was up over $12. (minus, minus, minus,
minus. That's me, toning down my enthusiasm a little.)
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12/10 Volume moderated a bit today and our indicators
were mixed. The dollar index was up, XLGD was down
and XOI gave back the gains of the past two days.
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12/09 Much ado about nothing. We had good volume, but
went nowhere. The dollar index edged up, XGLD gave
up a little and XOI ticked up.
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12/08 There's a little stirring in the anxiety indicators
but it's not overdone. The bond index spurted to a
high it hasn't seen in a couple of years. McClellan
continued its retreat. The dollar index was up a bit.
XGLD fell $10 and XOI was up slightly.
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12/07 Our Confidence Index fell to zero. That's fitting
since I mentioned an orderly pullback yesterday and
it turned into a rout today. The bond index is tapping
on its recent ceiling. The dollar index was steady.
XGLD was down a little and XOI continued its fall.
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12/06 We seem to have an orderly consolidation going on.
The dollar index stabilized, and HUI seems to be
antipating a little more firmness in the dollar.
McClellan is slowly rolling over. XGLD pulled back
a little and XOI was steady.
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