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Re: Zeev Hed post# 324994

Saturday, 11/20/2004 11:12:26 AM

Saturday, November 20, 2004 11:12:26 AM

Post# of 704041
>>The cable industry took 30 years to achieve that kind of penetration.<<

I think the model you are talking about is farther away than 5 years for SIRI to see gross profits of 33%. You mentioned "fixed" cost. It's hard to peg "fixed cost" when they sign someone like Stern for $100 mil a year. "Fixed" cost just took a giant leap. I don't see all this resolving itself to a point where the SIRI business model has matured to point of seeing "net" profits higher than 7%. I would only give in to a argument of maybe 10% in five years. I see SIRI taking on more debt to get there and the interest expense alone will rise a chunk.




Joe

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