Friday, November 19, 2004 9:39:23 PM
LOOKING BACK
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
11/12/04 371 171
11/15/04 232 152
11/16/04 77 64
11/17/04 163 88
11/18/04 90 68
11/19/04 65 43
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
11/12/04 12 8
11/15/04 11 7
11/16/04 12 7
11/17/04 11 7
11/18/04 9 8
11/19/04 11 9
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VOLUME FACTOR
11/12/04 .71
11/15/04 .67
11/16/04 .66
11/17/04 .79
11/18/04 .69
11/19/04 .71
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PUT/CALL RATIO
11/12/04 .596
11/15/04 .377
11/16/04 .590
11/17/04 .436
11/18/04 .505
11/19/04 .490
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OPTIMISM
11/12/04 2.06 ALERT!
11/15/04 2.39 ALERT!
11/16/04 2.02 ALERT!
11/17/04 2.02 ALERT!
11/18/04 1.67
11/19/04 .76
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COMPOSITE DAILY
11/12/04 30213
11/15/04 26029
11/16/04 13788
11/17/04 26775
11/18/04 20349
11/19/04 8830
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DIA INDEX POWER
11/12/04 105.65 2.90%
11/15/04 105.73 2.83%
11/16/04 105.13 2.33%
11/17/04 105.90 2.83%
11/18/04 106.00 2.80%
11/19/04 104.57 1.67%
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QQQ INDEX POWER
11/12/04 38.66 4.30%
11/15/04 38.83 4.36%
11/16/04 38.59 3.69%
11/17/04 39.11 4.51%
11/18/04 39.29 4.62%
11/19/04 38.68 3.20%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
11/12/04 .82 4.67
11/15/04 1.08 5.00
11/16/04 1.68 5.57
11/17/04 .75 5.24
11/18/04 .94 5.27
11/19/04 .67 5.12
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
11/12/04 .74 5.64
11/15/04 .46 5.38
11/16/04 .78 4.72
11/17/04 .57 3.20
11/18/04 .67 3.22
11/19/04 1.26 3.74
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
11/12/04 18.82 19.04
11/15/04 18.50 18.84
11/16/04 18.60 18.71
11/17/04 18.50 18.60
11/18/04 18.79 18.64
11/19/04 19.72 19.00
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
11/12/04 14.05 13.71
11/15/04 14.21 13.87
11/16/04 14.00 13.95
11/17/04 13.64 13.88
11/18/04 13.95 13.92
11/19/04 14.60 14.13
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
11/12/04 2085.34 4.53%
11/15/04 2094.09 4.55%
11/16/04 2078.72 3.79%
11/17/04 2099.68 4.38%
11/18/04 2104.28 4.35%
11/19/04 2070.63 2.94%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
11/12/04 10539.01 2.88%
11/15/04 10550.24 2.83%
11/16/04 10478.65 2.30%
11/17/04 10549.57 2.70%
11/18/04 10572.55 2.78%
11/19/04 10456.91 1.84%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
11/12/04 183.59 .09%
11/15/04 183.89 .19%
11/16/04 183.69 .07%
11/17/04 184.48 .40%
11/18/04 184.74 .47%
11/19/04 183.91 .09%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
11/12/04 83.76 -2.31%
11/15/04 83.95 -1.98%
11/16/04 83.85 -1.98%
11/17/04 83.34 -2.37%
11/18/04 83.79 -1.80%
11/19/04 83.24 -2.22%
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HUI INDEX POWER
11/12/04 241.86 3.92%
11/15/04 236.96 2.07%
11/16/04 240.88 3.13%
11/17/04 245.13 4.23%
11/18/04 239.37 2.10%
11/19/04 241.32 2.57%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
11/12/04 7014.18 3.52%
11/15/04 7003.06 3.20%
11/16/04 6959.30 2.61%
11/17/04 7013.46 3.13%
11/18/04 7002.91 2.89%
11/19/04 6947.19 2.15%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
11/12/04 1184.17 3.36%
11/15/04 1183.81 3.15%
11/16/04 1175.43 2.50%
11/17/04 1181.94 2.86%
11/18/04 1183.55 2.87%
11/19/04 1170.34 1.90%
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McClellan INDEX
11/12/04 2127.41
11/15/04 2253.75
11/16/04 2309.85
11/17/04 2393.27
11/18/04 2448.42
11/19/04 2424.04
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XGLD INDEX POWER
11/12/04 437.40 2.58%
11/15/04 437.10 2.36%
11/16/04 439.70 2.65%
11/17/04 445.20 3.41%
11/18/04 443.70 2.93%
11/19/04 446.50 2.80%
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XOI INDEX POWER
11/12/04 713.76 1.40%
11/15/04 701.27 -.11%
11/16/04 698.63 -.40%
11/17/04 709.72 .89%
11/18/04 712.99 1.10%
11/19/04 719.14 1.58%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
11/19 Our Confidence Index is retreating and our COMPOSITE
took a hard hit but they don't seem particularly severe
since the consolidation was expected and options
expiration after a strong run made this a tough day.
Today's hit was severe enough that even Ol' McClellan
stumbled. The dollar index gave back yesterday's gain.
XGLD closed at a multi-year high. XOI didn't make it
to a new high ... but it tried.
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11/18 The dollar index recovered yesterday's loss.
XGLD tapered off a trifle and XOI moved up near
the top of its trading range since late October.
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11/17 The TRIN/TRINQ Bretz numbers and VXN/VXO are
getting mighty low. The bond index popped right
back up where it was a couple of weeks ago. McClellan
is stair-stepping up and is nearing the early-year high.
The dollar index fell a half-a-buck. XGLD gapped up
and ran and XOI had an 11-dollar run up.
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11/16 Ooooo, that's nice. We have a nice orderly retreat
on slightly lower volume. Our Confidence Index is headed
down and is still blaring an ALERT. That doesn't mean
panic. It's just trying to say we've had a very nice
run and should expect some consolidation. The dollar
index didn't do much but XGLD was up over two and a half
dollars. XOI fell a little to below 700.
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11/15 Our Confidence Index rose and gave another ALERT!
The dollar index stiffened its back and raised its
head a trifle. XGLD was steady and XOI gave back all
of Friday's heady gain and a touch more.
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11/12 The indices had an excellent day on higher volume.
Our Confidence index popped right back up, and lit its
ALERT, too. The dollar index gave up all of its recent
gains. XGLD was strong, XOI was even stronger.
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