Thursday, November 11, 2004 9:27:32 PM
LOOKING BACK
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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(Explanations are at #msg-3562924)
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NEW HIGHS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
11/04/04 388 146
11/05/04 247 141
11/08/04 118 88
11/09/04 146 96
11/10/04 154 104
11/11/04 250 143
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NEW LOWS NYSE NASD (from NASD site)
11/04/04 10 26
11/05/04 14 12
11/08/04 12 17
11/09/04 12 15
11/10/04 11 18
11/11/04 13 9
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VOLUME FACTOR
11/04/04 .73
11/05/04 .73
11/08/04 .60
11/09/04 .64
11/10/04 .67
11/11/04 .64
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PUT/CALL RATIO
11/04/04 .644
11/05/04 .456
11/08/04 .477
11/09/04 .506
11/10/04 .503
11/11/04 .498
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OPTIMISM
11/04/04 2.21 ALERT!
11/05/04 2.60 ALERT!
11/08/04 2.37 ALERT!
11/09/04 2.05 ALERT!
11/10/04 1.61
11/11/04 1.67
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COMPOSITE DAILY
11/04/04 25098
11/05/04 24473
11/08/04 14470
11/09/04 17219
11/10/04 19635
11/11/04 24026
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DIA INDEX POWER
11/04/04 103.32 1.75%
11/05/04 104.22 2.24%
11/08/04 104.29 2.15%
11/09/04 104.21 2.02%
11/10/04 104.39 2.13%
11/11/04 105.09 2.59%
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QQQ INDEX POWER
11/04/04 37.62 3.22%
11/05/04 37.96 3.69%
11/08/04 38.00 3.59%
11/09/04 37.92 3.27%
11/10/04 37.79 2.91%
11/11/04 38.29 3.79%
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TRIN Bretz TRIN-5
11/04/04 .77 4.84
11/05/04 .54 4.46
11/08/04 .75 3.93
11/09/04 1.11 3.91
11/10/04 1.08 4.25
11/11/04 .91 4.39
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TRINQ Bretz TRINQ-5
11/04/04 .79 4.58
11/05/04 .56 4.09
11/08/04 .72 4.25
11/09/04 1.44 5.15
11/10/04 2.09 5.60
11/11/04 .65 5.46
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VXN INDEX WEIGHTED
11/04/04 20.16 21.34
11/05/04 19.47 20.60
11/08/04 19.22 19.94
11/09/04 19.19 19.49
11/10/04 19.41 19.37
11/11/04 18.92 19.18
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VXO INDEX WEIGHTED
11/04/04 14.21 15.17
11/05/04 14.36 14.75
11/08/04 13.92 14.33
11/09/04 13.64 13.97
11/10/04 13.63 13.83
11/11/04 13.32 13.63
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NASDAQ INDEX POWER
11/04/04 2023.63 3.30%
11/05/04 2038.94 3.65%
11/08/04 2039.25 3.45%
11/09/04 2043.33 3.45%
11/10/04 2034.56 3.01%
11/11/04 2061.27 3.86%
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DJ-30 INDEX POWER
11/04/04 10314.76 1.76%
11/05/04 10387.54 2.13%
11/08/04 10391.31 2.01%
11/09/04 10386.37 1.93%
11/10/04 10385.48 1.90%
11/11/04 10469.84 2.47%
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DJ Bonds INDEX POWER
11/04/04 184.66 .53%
11/05/04 183.51 .00
11/08/04 183.33 -.06%
11/09/04 183.32 -.03%
11/10/04 182.88 -.23%
11/11/04 182.88 -.21%
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US Dollar INDEX POWER
11/04/04 84.47 -2.27%
11/05/04 83.90 -2.67%
11/08/04 84.05 -2.38%
11/09/04 84.23 -2.10%
11/10/04 84.43 -1.84%
11/11/04 84.27 -1.92%
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HUI INDEX POWER
11/04/04 233.72 3.26%
11/05/04 238.36 4.21%
11/08/04 235.07 2.76%
11/09/04 238.06 3.47%
11/10/04 237.45 3.06%
11/11/04 237.24 2.72%
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NYSE INDEX POWER
11/04/04 6885.20 2.92%
11/05/04 6906.23 2.91%
11/08/04 6890.00 2.57%
11/09/04 6886.34 2.45%
11/10/04 6891.22 2.44%
11/11/04 6950.97 2.99%
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S&P 500 INDEX POWER
11/04/04 1161.67 2.60%
11/05/04 1166.17 2.68%
11/08/04 1164.89 2.43%
11/09/04 1164.08 2.31%
11/10/04 1162.91 2.18%
11/11/04 1173.48 2.80%
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McClellan INDEX
11/04/04 1516.95
11/05/04 1647.01
11/08/04 1716.38
11/09/04 1787.26
11/10/04 1858.68
11/11/04 1975.05
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XGLD INDEX POWER
11/04/04 430.00 2.21%
11/05/04 434.00 2.69%
11/08/04 432.60 2.26%
11/09/04 435.30 2.58%
11/10/04 433.60 2.16%
11/11/04 434.50 2.19%
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XOI INDEX POWER
11/04/04 709.46 1.68%
11/05/04 712.11 1.64%
11/08/04 702.08 .36%
11/09/04 696.75 -.25%
11/10/04 702.40 .40%
11/11/04 701.96 .26%
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SUMMARY OF IMPRESSIONS FROM "LOOKING BACK" (above)
==================================================
11/11 Our Optimism Index stopped its fall, at least for
the moment. TRINQ settled down. The indices acted
quite bullish on a day with a little lower volume.
The dollar index was just about steady. XGLD didn't
do much and XOI was steady, too.
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11/10 Our Optimism Index is trending down. TRINQ
continued its runup. The bond index is trending
down but the dollar index moved up a little bit.
McClellan hasn't recognized the consolidation phase
yet. It's always a little slow to react. XGLD
fell a little and XOI recovered yesterday's loss.
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11/09 I don't know if it means anything but TRINQ was
a little rambunctious today while TRIN/VXN/VXO were
steady. And, for what it's worth, McClellan is still
running up, though at a slightly slower pace. The
dollar index was up a trifle. XGLD moved up quite
a bit, and XOI fell again.
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11/08 Our Optimism Index turned down a little and is
still ALERTing. The bond index fell a bit more. The
dollar index stopped its plunge (at least for today).
It may be waiting on the Fed, now. XGLD didn't do
much and XOI fell ten dollars.
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11/05 TRIN/TRINQ/VXN/VXO have all gone to bullish levels
and Our Confidence Index improved and is showing ALERTs.
The p/c ratio fell lower than it has been recently and
the indices are booming. Even so, several of our
indicators ticked down. It may be time to digest some
of the recent gains. The bond index fell sharply (and
so did TLT). The dollar index was down over half-a-
dollar. XLGD was up and so was XOI.
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11/04 Our Optimism Index roared today and flashed an
ALERT which suggests a hint of excessive bullishness.
The indices are trying to make up for lost time.
NYSE boomed again and DJIA and S&P500 were very
strong. The Dollar index edged down a little bit.
XGLD closed at $430, it's highest close this year
and XOI had a strong day, too.
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11/03 The dollar index fell and closed below $85, XGLD
was strong, and XOI was stronger. Which of those are
a reaction to political events? My guess is the dollar
index and XGLD.
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