JIm, I have nowhere near your ability with "cycles" but what I do watch is P & F sector trends. These have a tendency to show their direction slower than most indicators, but when they do demonstrate a direction, it is usually a strong indication.
P & F sector trends have changed to upward momentum over the past couple of weeks.
Unless and until we re-engineer critical sectors of U.S. society, many millions of children will suffer needlessly--from my general and political commentary blog: www.thinkwecan.com