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Re: lexus300 post# 42203

Monday, 11/16/2009 11:18:10 AM

Monday, November 16, 2009 11:18:10 AM

Post# of 52122
Lexus, to your and Golfin's credit, I do see the possibility of a very fast meltdown if the mood changes. Euphoria can turn to paranoia so fast it would make anyone's head spin if there's clear evidence of a double dip--which we may see evidence of soon enough. So far, the 2003 scenario *continues* to play out--amazingly. And it's blowing out of the water the idea that the 9-year cycle and sigma el are pointing down. If the 2003 scenario continues to play, then we should see a repeat of 2004--not 2002. Noticing how the 80-week low came in August 2004, and now we are expecting an 80-week low in the same period (July/August) of 2010. Fascinating.

Ted

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