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Thursday, 10/14/2004 4:14:09 PM

Thursday, October 14, 2004 4:14:09 PM

Post# of 704041
Coin Flip Update

After 12 days of trading the coin flip portfolio has made 6 of 12 daily predictions correct (50%) accurate.
To date, the coin flip has accummulated a loss of 1.06 SnP points.
During this stretch the market has had 5 days where it went up, and 7 days where it has gone down.
So far no one has offered to compete against the coin flip to test their TA skill against random chance.
The coin flip is now predicting 2 more days of selloff.











Date---- Coin Flip- -Prev Close- ----Close--- Gain/Loss R/W Right Wrong % Right Points
9/29/2004 ---Sell--- 1,110.06 1,114.80 4.74 W 0 1 0.00% -4.74
9/30/2004 ---Sell--- 1,114.80 1,114.58 -0.22 R 1 1 50.00% -4.52
10/1/2004 ---Buy---- 1,114.58 1,131.50 16.92 R 2 1 66.67% 12.40
10/4/2004 ---Sell--- 1,131.50 1,135.17 3.67 W 2 2 50.00% 8.73
10/5/2004 ---Sell--- 1,135.17 1,134.48 -0.69 R 3 2 60.00% 9.42
10/6/2004 ---Buy---- 1,134.48 1,142.05 7.57 R 4 2 66.67% 16.99
10/7/2004 ---Buy---- 1,142.05 1,130.65 -11.40 W 4 3 57.14% 5.59
10/8/2004 ---Buy---- 1,130.65 1,122.14 -8.51 W 4 4 50.00% -2.92
10/11/2004 ---Buy---- 1,122.14 1,124.39 2.25 R 5 4 55.56% -0.67
10/12/2004 ---Buy---- 1,124.39 1,121.84 -2.55 W 5 5 50.00% -3.22
10/13/2004 ---Buy---- 1,121.84 1,113.65 -8.19 W 5 6 45.45% -11.41
10/14/2004 ---Sell--- 1,113.64 1,103.29 -10.35 R 6 6 50.00% -1.06
10/15/2004 ---Sell---
10/18/2004 ---Sell---
10/19/2004 ---Buy----
10/20/2004 ---Sell---
10/21/2004 ---Buy----
10/22/2004 ---Buy----

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